Your opinion on network analysis in the presence of uncertain events

[adamv0025 at netconsultings.com (adamv0025 at netconsultings.com)]

> From: Mel Beckman <mel at beckman.org>
> Sent: Wednesday, January 16, 2019 9:21 PM
> 
> MTBF canâ??t be used alone to predict failure probability, because product
> mortality follows the infamous â??bathtub curveâ??. Products are as likely to fail
> early in their lives as later in their lives. MTBF as a scalar value is just an
> average.
> 
Yes very good point -however that's where the historical data should come to rescue to help bend the MTBF line into this expected "bathtub curve". 
 

adam